14th international probabilistic workshop

14th international probabilistic workshop

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Title Statements

  • Full title :14th international probabilistic workshop.

Edition Statements

  • Publication Date:2016.

Publication Statements

  • Publisher(s):Springer
  • Place of Publication:Place of publication not identified
  • Language:eng
  • Publication Date:2016.

The Physical Object

  • Description:1 volume : : illustrations (black and white, and colour) ; : 24 cm

Edition Identifiers

  • ISBN:3319478850, 9783319478852
  • oclc:ocn959035153
  • LC Classification:TA645
  • Dewey Decimal:620.0015192

Table of Contents

Preface; Organization; Chair of IPW2016; Scientific Committee; Contents; Keynotes; 1 Optimizing Adaptable Systems for Future Uncertainty; Abstract; 1 Introduction; 2 Adaptable or Flexible Engineering Systems; 2.1 A Measure of Flexibility; 3 Sequential Decision Analysis; 4 Numerical Illustrations; 4.1 Case 1: Infrastructure Capacity; 4.2 Case 2: Disaster Risk Management; 5 Concluding Remarks; References; 2 Freak Events, Black Swans, and Unknowable Unknowns: Impact on Risk-Based Design; Abstract; 1 Introduction; 2 Infrastructure: Evolving Expectations.

3 What We Know, What We Should Know, What We Don't Know4 Black Swans and Perfect Storms; 5 The "Very" Extreme; 6 The Carlsbad Black Swan: El Paso Natural Gas Pipeline Rupture, 19 August, 2000; 7 The Fukushima Daiichi Perfect Storm, 11 March 2011; 8 Conclusions: Demystifying the Extraordinary; References; Structural Reliability Methods and Statistical Approaches; Extrapolation, Invariance, Geometry and Subset Sampling; 1 Introduction; 2 The Subset Sampling Method; 3 SuS and Asymptotic Approximations; 4 Extrapolation; 5 Invariance; 6 Changing Topological Structure of Domains.

7 Several Beta Points8 Bias and Variance of SuS Estimates; …

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