Title Statements
- Full title :14th international probabilistic workshop.
Edition Statements
- Publication Date:2016.
Publication Statements
- Publisher(s):Springer
- Place of Publication:Place of publication not identified
- Language:eng
- Publication Date:2016.
The Physical Object
- Description:1 volume : : illustrations (black and white, and colour) ; : 24 cm
Edition Identifiers
- ISBN:3319478850, 9783319478852
- oclc:ocn959035153
- LC Classification:TA645
- Dewey Decimal:620.0015192
Table of Contents
Preface; Organization; Chair of IPW2016; Scientific Committee; Contents; Keynotes; 1 Optimizing Adaptable Systems for Future Uncertainty; Abstract; 1 Introduction; 2 Adaptable or Flexible Engineering Systems; 2.1 A Measure of Flexibility; 3 Sequential Decision Analysis; 4 Numerical Illustrations; 4.1 Case 1: Infrastructure Capacity; 4.2 Case 2: Disaster Risk Management; 5 Concluding Remarks; References; 2 Freak Events, Black Swans, and Unknowable Unknowns: Impact on Risk-Based Design; Abstract; 1 Introduction; 2 Infrastructure: Evolving Expectations.
3 What We Know, What We Should Know, What We Don't Know4 Black Swans and Perfect Storms; 5 The "Very" Extreme; 6 The Carlsbad Black Swan: El Paso Natural Gas Pipeline Rupture, 19 August, 2000; 7 The Fukushima Daiichi Perfect Storm, 11 March 2011; 8 Conclusions: Demystifying the Extraordinary; References; Structural Reliability Methods and Statistical Approaches; Extrapolation, Invariance, Geometry and Subset Sampling; 1 Introduction; 2 The Subset Sampling Method; 3 SuS and Asymptotic Approximations; 4 Extrapolation; 5 Invariance; 6 Changing Topological Structure of Domains.
7 Several Beta Points8 Bias and Variance of SuS Estimates; …
Subjects
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