Bayesian inference in the social sciences

"Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences builds upon the recent growth in Bayesian methodology and examines an array of topics in model formulation, estimation, and applications. Particular emphasis is placed on an interdisciplinary coverage, model checking, and modern computational tools such as Markov chain Monte Carlo. The book's broad interdisciplinary coverage provides exposure to recent and trending developments in a diverse, yet closely integrated, set of research topics in the social sciences. This approach facilitates the transmission of new ideas, developments, and methodology from one discipline to another, while at the same time maintaining manageability, coherence, and a clear focus"--

Machine generated contents note: List of Figures iii 1 Bayesian Analysis of Dynamic Network Regression with Joint Edge/Vertex Dynamics 1 Zack W. Almquist and Carter T. Butts 1.1 Introduction 2 1.2 Statistical Models for Social Network Data 2 1.3 Dynamic Network Logistic Regression with Vertex Dynamics 11 1.4 Empirical Examples and Simulation Analysis 14 1.5 Discussion 29 1.6 Conclusion 30 2 Ethnic Minority Rule and Civil War: A Bayesian Dynamic Multilevel Analysis 39 Xun Pang 2.1 Introduction: Ethnic Minority Rule and Civil War 40 2.2 EMR: Grievance and Opportunities of Rebellion 41 2.3 Bayesian GLMM-AR(p) Model 42 2.4 Variables, Model and Data 47 2.5 Empirical Results and Interpretation 49 2.6 Civil War: Prediction 54 2.7 Robustness Checking: Alternative Measures of EMR 59 2.8 Conclusion 60 References 62 3 Bayesian Analysis of Treatment Effect Models 67 Mingliang Li and Justin L. Tobias 3.1 Introduction 68 3.2 Linear Treatment Response Models Under Normality 69 3.3 Nonlinear Treatment Response Models 73 3.4 Other Issues and Extensions: Non-Normality, Model Selection and Instrument Imperfection 78 3.5 Illustrative Application 84 3.6 Conclusion 89 4 Bayesian Analysis of Sample Sele…