Natural hazard uncertainty assessment: modeling and decision support
by Riley, Karin Thompson, Matthew Webley, Peter
Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeli…
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- Full title :Natural hazard uncertainty assessment : modeling and decision support / Karin Riley, Peter Webley, Matthew Thompson, editors.
Summary
Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government. Key themes and highlights include: -Substantial breadth and depth of analysis in terms of the types of natural hazards addressed, the disciplinary perspectives represented, and the number of studies included -Targeted, application-centered analyses with a focus on development and use of modeling techniques to address various sources of uncertainty -Emphasis on the impacts of climate change on natural hazard processes and outcomes -Recommendations for cross-disciplinary and science transfer across natural hazard sciences This volume will be an excellent resource for those interested in the current work on uncertainty classification/quantification and will document common and emergent research themes to allow all to learn from each other and build a more connected but still diverse and ever growing community of scientists.
Read More ↓Edition Statements
- Publication Date:©2017
Publication Statements
- Publisher(s):American Geophysical Union, Wiley
- Place of Publication:Hoboken, New Jersey
- Language:eng
- Publication Date:©2017
Notes
Includes index.
The Physical Object
- Description:346 pages
Edition Identifiers
- ISBN:9781119027867, 1119027861
- oclc:on1032008444
- Dewey Decimal:363.34
Table of Contents
Uncertainty in Natural Hazards, Modeling and Decision Support / Karin Riley, Matthew Thompson, Peter Webley, Kevin D Hyde -- Uncertainty, Communication, and Decision Support. Natural Hazard Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis / Matthew Thompson, Jord J Warmink -- Understanding Uncertainty as a Key Interdisciplinary Problem in Earth System Science / Florian Rauser, Gernot Geppert -- Uncertainty and Probability in Wildfire Management Decision Support / Matthew Thompson, David Calkin, Joe H Scott, Michael Hand -- Role of Uncertainty in Decision Support for Volcanic Ash Cloud Modeling / Peter Webley -- Geological Hazards. Building an Uncertainty Modeling Framework for Real-Time VATD / Peter Webley, Abani Patra, Marcus Bursik, E Bruce Pitman, Jonathan Dehn, Tarung Singh, Puneet Singla, Matthew D Jones, Reza Madankan, E Ramona Stefanescu, Solene Pouget -- Uncertainties in Estimating Magma Source Parameters from InSAR Observation / Wenyu Gong, Zhong Lu, Franz Meyer -- Improving Model Simulations of Volcanic Emission Clouds and Assessing Model Uncertainties / Nina Iren Kristiansen, Delia Arnold, Christian Maurer, Julius Vira, Razvan Rdulescu, Damien Martin, Andreas Stohl, Kerstin Stebel, Mi…
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