Coalitions and crises: Authoritarianism, adjustment, and transitions in emerging markets

by Thomas Blake Pepinsky

Type Thesis
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Economic crises place great pressures on authoritarian regimes. Why do some authoritarian regimes survive economic crises by adopting adjustment policies that their supporters demand, while other authoritarian regimes offer inconsistent adjustment policies and subsequently collapse? This dissertation answers these questions by studying the distributional consequences of adjustment policies to financial crises. Holders of mobile capital advocate capital account openness, while holders of fixed c…

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Summary

Economic crises place great pressures on authoritarian regimes. Why do some authoritarian regimes survive economic crises by adopting adjustment policies that their supporters demand, while other authoritarian regimes offer inconsistent adjustment policies and subsequently collapse? This dissertation answers these questions by studying the distributional consequences of adjustment policies to financial crises. Holders of mobile capital advocate capital account openness, while holders of fixed capital and labor advocate capital account closure to facilitate macroeconomic expansion. When support coalitions contain both mobile and fixed capital, contradictory demands over adjustment policy lead regime collapse, but when coalitions including fixed capital or fixed capital in alliance with labor, regimes adopt expansionary policies and survive. Evidence from in-depth field research in Southeast Asia shows how the theory explains enduring puzzles about adjustment and regime transitions in Indonesia and Malaysia during the Asian Financial Crisis. Cross-national statistical research and additional case studies from Latin America demonstrate that the approach explains how coalitional politics affects adjustment policy and regime survival around the world.

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Edition Statements

  • Publication Date:2007

Thesis Information

  • Degree:Ph.D.
  • University:Yale University
  • Advisor/Supervisor:F. M. Rosenbluth
  • Pages:492

Publication Statements

  • Language:eng
  • Publication Date:2007

Edition Identifiers

  • proquest:304784553

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