What is uncertainty? -- Measuring uncertainty -- Modeling uncertainty -- Communicating uncertainty -- Capturing expert judgment -- Decision-making under uncertainty -- Fallacies of logic and inference -- Case topics -- Summary and conclusions.
"Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensiv…
"Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensiv…