This collection of essays offers a synthesis of foundational studies in Bayesian decision theory and statistics. A key topic is understanding how Bayesian decision making should apply in settings with more than one rational decision maker.
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Animal social networks
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Type: Book
"The scientific study of networks--computer, social, and biological--has received an enormous amount of interest in recent years. However, the network approach has been applied to the field of animal behaviour relatively late compared to many other biological disciplines. Unders…
Most tasks require a person or an automated system to reason--to reach conclusions based on available information. The framework of probabilistic graphical models, presented in this book, provides a general approach for this task. The approach is model-based, allowing interpreta…
Encouraging interdisciplinary research, this book introduces state-of-the-art phylogenetics to the Bayesian statistical community and, likewise, presents state-of-the-art Bayesian statistics to the phylogenetics community. The book emphasizes model selection, reflecting recent i…
Macroeconomics at the service of public policy
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Type: Book
This volume uses state of the art models from the frontier of macroeconomics to answer key questions about how the economy functions and how policy should be conducted. The contributions cover a wide range of issues in macroeconomics and macroeconomic policy. They combine high l…
From the basics to the forefront of modern research, this book presents all aspects of probability theory, statistics and data analysis from a Bayesian perspective for physicists and engineers. The book presents the roots, applications and numerical implementation of probability…
The Bayesian revolution in statistics - where statistics is integrated with decision making in areas such as management, public policy, engineering, and clinical medicine - is here to stay. Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory states the case and in a self-contained, com…
From understanding environmental processes and climate trends to developing new technologies for mapping public-health data and the spread of invasive species, there is a high demand for statistical analyses of data that take spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal information in…
'The Probabilistic Mind' is a follow-up to the influential and highly cited 'Rational Models of Cognition' (OUP, 1998). It brings together developments in understanding how, and how far, high-level cognitive processes can be understood in rational terms, and particularly using p…
Bayesian theory and applications
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Type: Book
This volume guides the reader along a statistical journey that begins with the basic structure of Bayesian theory, and then provides details on most of the past and present advances in this field.
The book discusses the relationship between the ROC curve and numerous performance measures and extends the theory into practice by describing how ROC curves are estimated. Further building on the theory, the authors present statistical tests for ROC curves and their summary st…
Bayesian statistics are becoming the contemporary standard for treating ecological data. Introduction to Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Ecological Data is designed for readers who are interested in the quantitative analysis of environmental data yet reluctant to apply ready-m…
French environmental scientists Parent (National School of Rural Water and Forestry Engineering, Paris) and Rivot (Institute for Agronomic Research) walk colleagues through the first steps of statistical modeling and inference, particularly hierarchical Bayesian modeling, which …
"There is an explosion of interest in Bayesian statistics, primarily because recently created computational methods have finally made Bayesian analysis tractable and accessible to a wide audience. Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS, is for firs…