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"In The Art of Causal Conjecture, Glenn Shafer lays out a new mathematical and philosophical foundation for probability and uses it to explain concepts of causality used in statistics, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. The various disciplines that use causal reasoning dif…
Suicide kills and maims victims; traumatizes loved ones; preoccupies clinicians; and costs health care and emergency agencies fortunes. It should therefore demand a wealth of theoretical, scientific, and fiduciary attention. But in many ways it has Why? Although the answer to th…
In this dissertation we first modify profile empirical likelihood function conditioned on complete data to estimate the population mean in presence of missing values in the response variable. Also in Chapter 3 under the counterfactual potential outcome by Rubin (1974, 1976, 1977…
Modeling complex interactions involving multiple response variables is a difficult problem. Response variables are often correlated with each other, have causal relationships and are influenced by factor main effects, interactions and covariates. When analyzing these types of da…
The primary concern of this study is to examine the relationship between economic growth (GDP) and the key trade variables, namely, exports and imports for five selected ASEAN countries (Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines). The exercise uses a simultan…
Discovering rich causal models computationally can be key to creating human like artificial intelligence. Recent research has detached the notion of time from approaches to causal inference and has thus obscured modelling of and inference over dynamic dependencies in causal syst…
This dissertation defends the so-called 'agency-approach' to causation, which attempts to ground the causal relation in the cause's role of being a means to bring about its effect. The defence is confined to a conceptual interpretation of this theory, pertaining to the concept o…
In an attempt to determine what causes economic growth, economists have studied various influences, among them is the role of the financial system in economic growth. Some argue that financial and monetary factors do not have any effect on real variables such as GDP growth. Howe…
The main objective of this study is to examine the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. More specifically, the study empirically investigates the long run relationship and the causality direction between aggregate export and econom…
This thesis applies Granger Causality Tests to balance of payments accounts of Turkey between the first quarter of 1992 and the last quarter of 2009, in order to test effectiveness of current account sustainability indicators that are derived by two major theoretical conceptions…
Who are the most influential senators in Congress? Is there a small coalition of senators who are influential enough to prevent filibusters? In a different setting of microfinance markets, can we predict the effects of interventions to help policy makers? In order to pursue such…
This dissertation investigates the long run and short run relationships between Saudi stock market returns and eight macroeconomic variables. We investigate the ability of these variables to predict the level and volatility of Saudi stock market returns. A wide range of Vector a…