This study of perception and misperception in foreign policy was a landmark in the application of cognitive psychology to political decision making. The "New York Times" called it, in an article published nearly ten years after the book's appearance, "the seminal statement of pr…
"In this book senior scholars and a new generation of analysts present different applications of recent advances linking beliefs and decision-making, in the area of foreign policy analysis, with strategic interactions in world politics. Divided into five parts, Part 1 identifies…
"In this book senior scholars and a new generation of analysts present different applications of recent advances linking beliefs and decision-making, in the area of foreign policy analysis, with strategic interactions in world politics. Divided into five parts, Part 1 identifies…
War and Chance analyzes the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty in international affairs. It explains how the most important kinds of uncertainty in international politics are inherently subjective, and yet how scholars, practitioners, and pundits can still …
Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertai…
Originally published in 2004. This excellent volume presents a systematic analysis of various human rights violations around the globe, focusing on security and subsistence rights. The book collects important contributions to the theoretical development of the human rights pheno…