Past attempts to answer this question have ranged widelyfrom less than 1 billion to more than 1,000 billion - one sign that there is no single right answer. More than half of the estimates, however, fall within a much narrower range: between 4 billion and 16 billion. In any case…
Past attempts to answer this question have ranged widelyfrom less than 1 billion to more than 1,000 billion - one sign that there is no single right answer. More than half of the estimates, however, fall within a much narrower range: between 4 billion and 16 billion. In any case…
Past attempts to answer this question have ranged widelyfrom less than 1 billion to more than 1,000 billion - one sign that there is no single right answer. More than half of the estimates, however, fall within a much narrower range: between 4 billion and 16 billion. In any case…
This study traces world population growth and (prospective) decline using the lens of economic demography. The starting point is the flawed theory of Malthus in 1798; the end point is unknown, but most probably features global aging and depopulation. While the Malthusian overpop…
"For much of its history, human population growth increased at a glacial pace. The demographic rate only soared about 200 years ago, climaxing in the period 1950-2000. In that 50-year span, the population grew more than it had in the previous 5000 years. Though these raw numbers…
This study traces world population growth and (prospective) decline using the lens of economic demography. The starting point is the flawed theory of Malthus in 1798; the end point is unknown, but most probably features global aging and depopulation. While the Malthusian overpop…
"A comprehensive analysis of world population trends"--
"For much of its history, human population growth increased at a glacial pace. The demographic rate only soared about 200 years ago, climaxing in the period 1950-2000. In that 50-year span, the population grew more than it had in the previous 5000 years. Though these raw numbers…
Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability addresses the economic consequences of uncertainty in demographic forecasting.
Uncertain demographics and fiscal sustainability
There is widespread acceptance that much of the developed world faces a potential pensions and welfare crisis as a result of declining birth rates and an ageing population. However, there is considerable uncertainty about the specifics of demographic forecasting and this has sig…