Rational expectations (Economic theory)

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This book is written from the perspective of the applied mathematician, David Orrell. He states that economics is a mathematical model of human behaviour and the economy is dangerously unstable and unbalanced, and the risk models are unreliable.--[From introduction].

This book is written from the perspective of the applied mathematician, David Orrell. He states that economics is a mathematical model of human behaviour and the economy is dangerously unstable and unbalanced, and the risk models are unreliable.--[From introduction].

At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relations…