Leading indicators have been a successful forecasting tool adopted by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) since the work of Burns and Mitchell (1946). In recent years, new econometric models such as dynamic factor models have been used to explore more formally potent…
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This dissertation contains three distinct studies that explore aspects of the phenomenon of country risk. For U.S. firms in particular, the Iran crisis and passage of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act raised the perceived importance of country risk. Various primarily Western org…
This dissertation comprises three essays on developing countries' dealings with international capital markets. Many studies accord exports and imports a positive role in developing country growth. However, a country's ability to import is dependent on the availability of foreign…