Thesiss

The turmoil of the 1990s stimulated the development of “early warning systems” (EWS) for currency crises. The two prevalent approaches have been probit/logit modeling, and the “signals” approach of Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart (1997). Several issues can be raised regarding the…

Water is one of the most precious but least valued common property resource. Efficient ways of water resources management are vital to socio-economic development and the overall feat of societal stability. However, water conflicts have further exacerbated the access to water esp…

Early warning of slope instability will enable evacuation of vulnerable people and timely repair and maintenance of critical infrastructure. However, currently available warning systems are too expensive for wide-scale use or have technical limitations. The acoustic emission (AE…

This study attempts to contribute to the advancement of the predicting capabilities of early warning systems of violence eruption. It focuses mainly on predicting the likelihood of people, especially the weaker party, resorting to violence in situations of asymmetric conflict. M…