Post-Soviet central Asian states initially diverged into a variety of different regimes. Kyrgyzstan experimented with democracy, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan established authoritarian regimes, while Tajikistan succumbed to civil war. Regardless what particular form their governme…
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The thesis investigates how Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (ABMS) and Queueing Theory (QT) techniques help manage mass gathering (MG) crowds. The techniques are applied to Hajj MG, which is one of the most complex annual MG, with a focus on its challenging Tawaf ritual. The…
In this dissertation I examine why some development projects have succeeded while others failed to complete during the post-2001 Afghan insurgency. Through disaggregated statistical analysis, I find that interactions of location, time, ethnic heterogeneity (Cederman et al. 2009)…
Why do some leaders deliberately foster ethnic hatred and exclusion even though such a policy increases the risk of ethnic conflict? Contrary to common belief, I find that ethnic exclusion is good politics (but not good policy) for non-democratic leaders with small winning coali…